Ethereum Classic [ETC] is on a strong downtrend, can the bulls defend $25


Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

  • Ethereum Classic is in sell-the-bounce mode
  • 30% losses in just over two weeks, more pain could follow

USDT Dominance is a metric that measures how much of the market cap was held in Tether. Since mid-August, this metric has risen from 5.73% to 7.67%, to show market participants converting crypto to Tether. The selling pressure was felt across the market in the past few weeks.

Ethereum Classic {ETC] has been in a bearish grip since it fell below the $33.8 mark two weeks ago, and Bitcoin [BTC] was unable to beat the $19.6k resistance as well.

Ethereum Classic is at a bad risk-to-reward spot for higher timeframe traders

Ethereum Classic to $25? Here is where you can look to go short

Source: ETC/USDT on TradingView

To the north, a bearish order block resided near the $30 mark. At the time of writing, the price traded at $27.96. A further 8% gain would be needed to invalidate the bearish notion. Hence, traders can look to wait for more of a bounce in order to enter short positions around the $28-$29 region, which is also close to the key support level at $30.47.

The 12-hour and the daily timeframe (not shown here) had a bearish market structure. They have formed a series of lower highs and lower lows in the past two weeks. Due to this, Ethereum Classic traders can look to trade with the trend and look for selling opportunities.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) was beneath the neutral 50 mark and tested it as resistance recently. This suggested the presence of a downward trend. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) also agreed that sellers had the upper hand. The OBV has made lower highs for around three weeks, to indicate high selling volume.

Short sellers of ETC can look to take profit at the $26.5 and $24.8 support levels. A move above $30.5 can be used to trigger a stop-loss order.

Social Dominance diminishes as the downtrend continues

Ethereum Classic to $25? Here is where you can look to go short

Source: Santiment

The price saw strong gains in mid-July, when the social dominance metric was quite a way higher that where it stood in September. Since August, the social dominance metric slowly began to creep lower, as did the price of ETC.

An encouraging fact for users of the network was that the development activity seen in late August continued with good strength. This showed that despite the price’s downturn, the GitHub repositories still saw significant activity.

Bitcoin stood right beneath the $19.6k resistance. In order to assume a bullish bias, BTC would need to climb above the $20.5k region and flip it to support. In the meantime, the downtrend of Bitcoin could see altcoins bleed as well. Ethereum Classic’s longer-term downtrend also favored short positions from a technical standpoint.


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